Telangana Likely to Receive Above Normal Rainfall This Monsoon, Says IMD

Hyderabad: Telangana is expected to over 111 per cent rainfall of the long period average (LPA) in the southwest monsoon, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Tuesday. The LPA is based on historical data from 1971-2020. The monsoon has covered parts of Telangana several days early and is expected to set in over Hyderabad later this week.

The prediction comes as part of the second-stage long range forecast (LRF), which offers region-wise monsoon predictions using multi-model ensemble systems and global climate data.

Overall, India was likely to receive above-normal rainfall in June, which is expected to keep maximum temperatures in check in most parts of the country, the IMD said. M. Ravichandran, secretary in the Union ministry of earth sciences, said rainfall across the country during June was likely to be more than 108 per cent of the long-period average of 166.9 mm.

“During June, most of the country is expected to receive normal to above-normal rainfall. Some southern parts of peninsular India and parts of northwest and northeast India may receive below-normal rain,” he said.

IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra said that from June to September, he said, the country is likely to receive 106 per cent of the long-period average rainfall of 87 cm.

Rainfall between 96 per cent and 104 per cent of the 50-year average of 87 cm is considered 'normal', the IMD said.

The IMD also noted that neutral El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions currently prevail over the Pacific Ocean and were expected to continue during the monsoon season. The El Nino refers to warm surface water temperature in the eastern and central Pacific Ocean, and is said to have an impact on the climate over India. Similarly, a weak negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) — fluctuations of sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions — is expected to develop, which could further influence rainfall patterns.

Above-normal rainfall over Telangana may support kharif crop sowing and help ease water stress in several districts. However, weather officials also cautioned that heavier rains could pose localised risks, including waterlogging, crop damage, and pressure on civic infrastructure.

The forecast for June 2025 suggests normal to above-normal monthly rainfall in most parts of India, including Telangana, while some areas in southern peninsular India may receive slightly below-normal rainfall. Officials advised farmers, civic authorities, and disaster management agencies to stay updated with IMD’s real-time advisories and district-specific forecasts during the active monsoon period.