GST will be positive for India's ratings: Moody's
New Delhi: Giving a thumbs up to GST, Moody’s on Sunday said that it will be positive for India’s rating as it will lead to higher GDP growth and increased tax revenues.
Moody’s positive reaction on GST will come as a shot in the arm of government as there are concerns that initial teething problem will impact economic growth in short term.
It is feared that as traders and manufacturer try to come to terms with GST rules, trade and manufacturing in the country may get hit in the short term. GST comes on back of a major economic disruption in demonetisation. Economic growth had fallen sharply in January to March quarter 2017 to 6.1 percent due to cash crunch after demonetisation.
“Over the medium term, we expect that the GST will contribute to productivity gains and higher GDP growth by improving the ease of doing business, unifying the national market and enhancing India's attractiveness as a foreign investment destination,” Moody’s VP (sovereign risk group) William Foster said.
The agency said that GST will also support higher government revenue generation through improved tax compliance and administration. “Both will be positive for India's credit profile, which is constrained by a relatively low revenue base,” Mr Foster said. “We expect the net impact of GST on government revenues to be positive,” he added.
Moody’s has a ‘Baa3’ rating on India with a positive outlook. Meanwhile, industry body CII said that going forward, GST will contribute to ease of doing business and accelerate new business ventures.
“GST imparts significant competitiveness to Indian industry, thereby boosting the inherent potential of the economy to raise incomes, add to the formal economy and incentivise exports. GST also helps expand the tax net. Above all, it gives us tremendous confidence that the government will continue to facilitate investments and simplify the business environment,” said Shobana Kamineni, president, Confederation of Indian Industry (CII).
Nothing major reported
Finance ministry on Sunday said that the second day after the roll-out of GST passed without any major problems being reported from the field. “Central and the state governments’ officers are trying their best to provide the required and the correct information to the trade and industry,” said the ministry. It said that revenue department “has got encouraging reports from the roadside dhabas and big restaurants as well as from kirana shops to departmental stores which, in turn, have started getting acclimatised to the new tax system.”