New Delhi: Indian businessman Pankaj Bansal is losing sleep. He says that any nuclear deal under which global powers lift sanctions against Iran could wipe him out. “I have been forced to take sleeping pills now to avoid nightmares as my business with Iran has drastically come down,” said Mr Bansal, 43, from his base in a teeming commercial district of South Delhi.
Mr Bansal’s trading firm, TMA International, has expanded from metals into motors, auto parts and chemicals as rivals were shut out of Iran by Western sanctions aimed at forcing Tehran into a nuclear compromise. Talks to finalise a deal have run deep into overtime but may wrap up on Friday. He is one of thousands of exporters who enjoyed a three-year run because India did not back the sanctions.
In that time, India’s exports to Iran doubled to $5 billion, helping to halve its bilateral trade deficit. Now, they could be forced aside by European and US competitors just as Asia’s third-largest economy reels from a 20 per cent export slump prompted by a global slowdown in trade. The revival of India’s historic friendship with Iran, shared with Russia and Venezuela, does hold the promise of long-term trade gains. Yet short-term pain looms for oil buyers and banks that benefited from sanctions-related payment delays.
A delegation of Indian exporters met finance minister Arun Jaitley last week to lobby for support to help them cope with a revival of competition for the Iranian market. They came away empty handed. “The lifting of Western sanctions on Iran would have an adverse impact, particularly on non-agricultural commodities,” said S.C. Ralhan, president of the Federation of Indian Export Organisations. Yet, millions of farmers too would face a hit from the easing of sanctions on Iran, a buyer of basmati rice, soymeal, sugar, barley and meat.
Under sanctions, Iran paid a premium of up to 20 per cent over global prices to buy from India. “Iran is shifting to other suppliers like South American countries. They are supplying at much lower prices compared to India. We cannot compete," said B.V. Mehta, ED, Solvent Extractors’ Association of India.
