Narendra Modi on course for election victory, exit polls show

DC
Published May 12, 2014, 11:55 pm IST
Updated Apr 1, 2019, 8:36 am IST
Jagan-BJP, TDP neck and neck in Seemandhra, TRS clear winner in Telangana
BJP's prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi. (Photo: AP)
 BJP's prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi. (Photo: AP)

New Delhi: BJP's Narendra Modi is set to become India's next Prime Minister, exit polls showed on Monday.

As polling ended, several exit polls were conducted by Headlines today, Hansa research, C-voter, Times now and NDTV.

 

Out of the five exit polls, three indicate a clean sweep by the BJP; while two others suggest that the Congress might not face a complete rout.

Research group C-Voter predicted 289 seats for the NDA headed by the BJP, with just 101 seats for the alliance led by the Congress party - which would be the ruling party's worst ever result.

C-Voter said its poll was based on a sample of 166,901 randomly selected respondents in all 543 seats up for election. The pollster said its margin of error is +-3 percent at a national level.

Another poll, by Cicero for the India Today group, showed the NDA hitting between 261 and 283 seats. A majority of 272 is needed to form a government, although that is often achieved with outside support from regional parties.

 

NDTV and Hansa research held back BJP’s share to 250 seats unlike others that suggest 270 plus seats to the BJP.

Indian elections are notoriously hard to call, however. Pre-election opinion polls and post-voting exit polls both have a patchy record. CSDS has put together a survey canvassing voters at least a day after they cast their ballots that was due to be released by the CNN-IBN news channel.

Times Now exit polls

NDA: 249 seats

UPA: 148

Hansa Research exit polls

NDA: 275 seats, BJP: 226

UPA: 111, Congress: 92

CNN-IBN exit polls

NDA: 270-282 seats, BJP 230-242

 

UPA: 92-102, Congress 72-82

TMC: 25-31

Left: 14-20

TDP: 12-16

YSRC: 11-15

SP: 10-14

RJD: 8-12

AAP: 3-7

JDU: 2-4

The CNN-CSDS exit poll has this to say:

Telangana: 17 seats

Congress: 31% vote share, 3-5 seats

BJP+TDP: 21%, 2-4

TRS: 37%, 8-12

Seemandhra: 25 seats

BJP+TDP, 43%, 11-15 seats

YSRC: 40%, 11-15

Congress: 7%, 0

Kerala: 20 seats

UDF: 45% vote share, 11-14 seats

LDF: 40%, 6-9

Delhi: 7 seats

BJP: 5-7

AAP: 0-2

Punjab: 13 seats

BJP + SAD: 6-9

Congress: 3-5

AAP: 1-3

Haryana: 10 seats

BJP+: 38% vote share

Congress: 24%

INLD: 20%

AAP: 4%

Others: 14%

Gujarat: 26 seats

BJP – 53%  vote share 

 

Cong – 35% 

Madhya Pradesh: 29 seats

Bjp: 50% vote share

Congress: 34% 

Others: 14% 

Uttarakhand: 5 seats

BJP: 49% vote share

Congress: 38%

BSP: 7%

Others: 6%

Himachal Pradesh: 4 seats:

BJP: 51%

Congress: 37%

Others: 12%

Tamil Nadu: 39 seats

DMK: 26%

ADMK: 39%

BJP: 16%

Congress: 9%

Others: 10%

Karnataka: 28 seats

BJP: 38%, 10-14

Congress: 43%, 12-16

JDS: 1-3 seats

West Bengal: 42

Trinamool Congress: 38% vote share, 25-31 seats

Left: 24%, 7-11

Congress: 13%, 2-4

BJP: 15%, 1-3

Odissa: 21 seats

BJD: 37% vote share, 12-16

Congress: 24%, 1-3

BJP: 29%, 3-7

Assam: 14 seats

 

Congress: 40% vote share

BJP: 22%

AGP: 3%

AUDF: 11%

Others: 14%

Jharkhand: 14 seats

BJP: 44% vote share

Congress: 11%

JVM: 11%

Others: 24%

Uttar Pradesh: 80 seats

BJP: 40%, 45-53

BSP: 21%, 10-14

SP: 24%, 13-17

Congress: 10%, 3-5

Others: 5%

Bihar: 40 seats

JDU: 2-4 seats

BJP: 21-27

Congress + RJD: 11-15

Maharashtra: 48

BJP: 44%, 33-37 seats

Congress: 34%, 11-15

MNS: 3%

AAP: 3%

Rajasthan: 25 seats

Bjp: 50%, 22- 24 seats 

Congress: 34% , 1-3 

BSP: 4%

Chhattisgarh: 11 seats

BJP: 51%

Congress: 31%

BSP: 4%

Others: 14%

The stock market closed at a second straight record high Monday while the rupee rallied on hopes exit polls will show BJP on track to win the national elections.

 

Release of the exit polls -- surveys of voters as they leave polling stations -- came after voting booths closed later Monday. Formal election results will be announced on May 16. The rupee strengthened to its highest against the US currency in nearly 10 months, touching 59.51 rupees to the dollar, a level last seen in July. 

Since the BJP chose Narendra Modi as its prime ministerial candidate last September, Indian shares have been on a bull run. The Sensex has gained over 19 percent -- a rise described by traders as a vote of confidence in Modi's ability to turn around India's struggling economy.

 

Stocks have risen more than five percent alone since voting began in early April in the multi-phased parliamentary election.

 

...




ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT